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Mercurius
Bet Advisor

Value betting strategies powered by AI, directly in your inbox.

Free trial

1M +

MATCH SIMULATIONS PER YEAR

50.000 +

DATA-POINTS ANALYSED

10.300

ANALYSED MATCHES

5.000 +

VALUE BETS FOUND

Compare our betting strategies

Mercurius betting strategies combine a statistical model and a staking plan to give you the best soccer picks available in the market.

  • Aggressive

    aggressive strategy chart
    Yearly ROC
    22.9%

    statistical model

    Model name
    Modified Dixon and Coles
    Analysed Features
    Goals scored
    Reactive force (attack and defense)
    Ground (home or away)
    Recent shape (fresh data are more relevant)
    Analysed Leagues
    27 leagues (Obos-Ligaen, Ekstraklasa, Primeira Liga, Segunda Liga, Liga 1, Premier League, Premiership ...)

    Staking plan

    Win rate
    41.67%
    Avg odd
    4
    Stacking plan
    Kelly fraction
    Max exposition
    35% of the bankroll
    Worst negative trend
    -57%
  • Balanced

    aggressive strategy chart
    Yearly ROC
    41%

    statistical model

    Model name
    Expected goals
    Analysed Features
    Shots position (127072 shots)
    Match simulations (expected goals based on shots)
    Post match analysis (expectations' refinement)
    All Dixon and Coles' features
    Analysed Leagues
    2 leagues (Bundesliga, Premier League)
     

    Staking plan

    Win rate
    30.73%
    Avg odd
    4.4
    Stacking plan
    proportional (1%)
    Max exposition
    26% of the bankroll
    Worst negative trend
    -26%
  • Conservative

    aggressive strategy chart
    Yearly ROC
    10.7%

    statistical model

    Model name
    Modified Dixon and Coles
    Analysed Features
    Goals scored
    Reactive force (attack and defense)
    Ground (home or away)
    Recent shape (fresh data are more relevant)
    Analysed Leagues
    7 leagues (La Liga, Serie A, Serie B, Championship, League One, Bundesliga, Ligue 1)

    Staking plan

    Win rate
    41.67%
    Avg odd
    2.66
    Stacking plan
    proportional (1%)
    Max exposition
    28% of the bankroll
    Worst negative trend
    -28%

How to use our sports betting strategies

  • howto screen 01

    Choose the size of your bankroll and the staking strategy you want to follow, Mercurius will find the best picks for you.

  • howto screen 02

    You will receive an email avery time a value bet is available in the Market.

  • howto screen 03

    Place your bets on your bookmaker's account.
    You and only you will have complete control of your money.

  • howto screen 04

    Fill in the slip by selecting the odd first and the amount to wager after. Be careful; you must place only single bets.

Read the full article for more details

Take advantage of market biases leveraging on AI driven betting strategies.

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A robo tipster powered by AI

  • football

    ACCESS TO TOP SOCCER DATA.

    Thanks to our partnerships with Wyscout and Sportmonks, you will have access to profesisonal data sources, trusted by top soccer teams like AC MIlan, Juventus, Inter and more.

  • 24h 7 icon

    24H AND 7 DAY WORKING FOR YOU.

    Mercurius' services are completelly automated and data driven: our algorithms are hosted on Amazon cloud and hence are always up and running, ready to spot market inefficiencies at any time of day and night.

  • bell icon

    NO MISSED OPPORTUNITIES.

    Tired of receiving last minutes tips with a time window of a few minutes? Our strategies are focused on pre-match odds so our value bets are detected several hours or even days in advance. You will be notified via email as soon as we detect them and you can place them as you can.

  • beach icon

    NO BIAS, NO STRESS. METHODIC AND RELIABLE.

    A methodic approach requires cold blood and no afterthoughts. Your staking plan will be consistent and never biased by sentiment. Mercurius optimises decisions for you balancing risks and opportunities.

Professional data provided by trusted partners

wyscout logo

450,000 monitored football players, over 220,000 catalogued games, 250 worldwide analyzed competitions.

sportmonks logo

Full season fixtures and odds, historical data up to 12 years; livescores, weather reports and more on 500+ soccer leagues

Don’t worry. We’ll do the hard work for you.

  • cloud technology

    WE FORECAST EVENT PROBABILITIES using big data, mathematical models and machine learning algorithms.

    Mercurius crunches data produced by more than 800 soccer teams in 34 leagues and estimates the chance of occurrence of each event and hence its implied odd.

    How does Mercurius work?

  • cloud technology

    WE DETECT VALUE BETS by comparing worldwide available odds with our predictions.

    Mercurius continuously monitors more the 20 bookmakers to spot only those bets featuring a positive Expected Value (EV).

    What is a value bet?

  • cloud technology

    WE TELL YOU THE EXACT WAGER for each value bets according to your staking plan.

    Mercurius combines a modified Kelly criterion with Markowitz portfolio management principles to minimize risks and preserve the best possible return.

    How does Mercurius work?